Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000330 0.000370 0.000414 0.000465 0.000523 0.000586 0.000662
2024-12-22 0.000242 0.000296 0.000359 0.000440 0.000542 0.000665 0.000827
2024-12-29 0.000201 0.000261 0.000337 0.000442 0.000583 0.000768 0.001031
2025-01-05 0.000179 0.000244 0.000332 0.000460 0.000643 0.000899 0.001288
2025-01-12 0.000154 0.000219 0.000310 0.000450 0.000660 0.000970 0.001470
2025-01-19 0.000131 0.000193 0.000284 0.000427 0.000654 0.001003 0.001596
2025-01-26 0.000119 0.000182 0.000276 0.000432 0.000687 0.001100 0.001837
2025-02-02 0.000113 0.000178 0.000279 0.000453 0.000749 0.001249 0.002186
2025-02-09 0.000103 0.000166 0.000268 0.000448 0.000768 0.001328 0.002422
2025-02-16 0.000096 0.000159 0.000263 0.000453 0.000802 0.001438 0.002732
2025-02-23 0.000088 0.000149 0.000253 0.000449 0.000819 0.001516 0.002993
2025-03-02 0.000082 0.000142 0.000247 0.000450 0.000845 0.001615 0.003311
2025-03-09 0.000076 0.000136 0.000241 0.000451 0.000874 0.001729 0.003690
2025-03-16 0.000068 0.000124 0.000225 0.000431 0.000860 0.001754 0.003882
2025-03-23 0.000064 0.000118 0.000220 0.000433 0.000891 0.001878 0.004327
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000117 0.000223 0.000451 0.000958 0.002091 0.005024
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000109 0.000213 0.000441 0.000962 0.002163 0.005384
2025-04-13 0.000051 0.000100 0.000198 0.000419 0.000935 0.002159 0.005547
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000097 0.000196 0.000424 0.000971 0.002310 0.006160
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000097 0.000200 0.000444 0.001048 0.002576 0.007153
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000092 0.000194 0.000440 0.001063 0.002687 0.007719
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000090 0.000192 0.000445 0.001102 0.002866 0.008535
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000086 0.000186 0.000440 0.001116 0.002981 0.009170